Produção de milho no Brasil : um estudo econométrico 2004 - 2014.

Abstract

The amount of corn produced has undergone some changes and to be able to understand how these changes occurred and which variables have influenced this oscillation, it is necessary to make an econometric study of the time series that can exert this fluctuation. This study aims to the analysis of these variables during the period of 2004-2014, which tests were performed to identify which variables have the biggest influence and the relevance of this to the amount of corn produced in the country. The estimated model was the “OLS” (Ordinary Least Squares), which allowed the identification of the most relevant variables: internal consumption and export amount. The Breusch-Godfrey test indicated that there is no serial correlation between the variables and the White test indicated that there is no heteroskedasticity. It is worth to notice that domestic consumption is the variable that showed greater relevance in the corn supply in the country during the studied period.